Petrol price hike may affect December holiday travel, economists say

File Picture: Leon Lestrade African News Agency (ANA).

File Picture: Leon Lestrade African News Agency (ANA).

Published Dec 7, 2022

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Durban - As South Africans prepare to enjoy the festive season without Covid-19 lockdown restrictions, experts say another petrol price increase will put a damper on celebrations, especially for those who will be travelling.

While there is good news for motorists with diesel vehicles and paraffin users, for motorists with petrol vehicles, the price is set to rise from today by 59 cents a litre for 93 and 95 ULP and LRP, according to a statement from the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy.

For diesel 0.05% sulphur, the price will decrease by R1.57 a litre and diesel 0.005% sulphur will drop by R1.52 a litre. The price of illuminating paraffin (wholesale) will decrease by 57 cents.

Economists said while the petrol price increase for December might be small, the cumulative increases would have a significant impact.

Layton Beard, spokesperson for the AA, said the prices of 93ULP and 95ULP petrol had increased from January to December by margins of between R3.60/l and R3.90/l.

“Although less pronounced than the diesel increases over the year, this is nonetheless still significant and will have a negative impact on motorists who are already facing severe financial pressures.”

Beard said the AA would continue to call for a re-evaluation of the fuel pricing structure to provide longer-lasting solutions to mitigate rising fuel costs.

“A review of the fuel price must examine all the components that comprise a litre of fuel, establish their continued relevance as part of the fuel price, and determine if the calculations used are still correct.”

Professor Irrshad Kaseeram from the University of Zululand’s Economics Department, said that although the latest petrol increase was minimal, the impact of the previous increases would be felt over the festive season.

Kaseeram said some holidaymakers could have factored in the fuel price increases during planning but might have to opt for shorter trips.

“We may find that consumers who normally like to travel might not be travelling as far due to the fuel increases. Overall, the tourism industry has taken a blow due to the Covid-19 pandemic, and now with the increase in fuel and rising cost of living we could find consumers with less money in their pockets and spending less on leisure activities.”

Dr Sheunesu Zhou, a financial economist, also from the University of Zululand, said fuel increases had been protracted this year.

“There’s no doubt that people are going to be affected and this is going to have an impact on tourism. There is going to be larger volumes of traffic due to the holidays and we are going to find people paying more for fuel and having less money.

“Also, remember with fuel going up, the price of products will go up and this will also discourage tourists from spending money and maybe even from going for holidays this December. Transport is a major driver of costs so it is a concern when there is a fuel (price) increase.”

He advised consumers to be cautious with their spending this festive season.

“The burden of debt is very high for consumers and it wouldn’t be wise to carelessly spend on things that you don’t need. With the rising cost of living, we could find many consumers heading into the new year with a huge amount of debt.”

THE MERCURY